Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.034639 0.040687 0.046956 0.053901 0.061343 0.069048 0.077595
2026-01-04 0.024283 0.032669 0.041917 0.052696 0.064759 0.077708 0.092532
2026-01-11 0.018827 0.028592 0.039939 0.053691 0.069560 0.087013 0.107398
2026-01-18 0.014604 0.025089 0.037903 0.053978 0.073012 0.094353 0.119667
2026-01-25 0.011546 0.022462 0.036461 0.054570 0.076480 0.101435 0.131394
2026-02-01 0.008927 0.019941 0.034797 0.054598 0.079042 0.107277 0.141537
2026-02-08 0.006058 0.016473 0.031495 0.052260 0.078497 0.109285 0.147079
2026-02-15 0.004272 0.014250 0.029592 0.051481 0.079676 0.113182 0.154686
2026-02-22 0.003243 0.013054 0.028980 0.052273 0.082712 0.119220 0.164738
2026-03-01 0.002438 0.012049 0.028524 0.053184 0.085832 0.125311 0.174813
2026-03-08 0.001929 0.011507 0.028695 0.054897 0.089936 0.132566 0.186247
2026-03-15 0.001416 0.010759 0.028458 0.055990 0.093203 0.138774 0.196413
2026-03-22 0.001408 0.011395 0.030566 0.060528 0.101128 0.150919 0.213961
2026-03-29 0.000681 0.009580 0.028487 0.059061 0.101210 0.153431 0.220005
2026-04-05 0.000391 0.008869 0.028186 0.060088 0.104526 0.159913 0.230804
2026-04-12 0.000157 0.007966 0.027433 0.060388 0.106834 0.165113 0.240033
2026-04-19 0.000039 0.007253 0.026936 0.061015 0.109542 0.170786 0.249816
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006416 0.026087 0.061045 0.111402 0.175363 0.258239
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004948 0.023707 0.058565 0.109742 0.175412 0.261060
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004091 0.022441 0.057739 0.110288 0.178216 0.267220
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003722 0.022231 0.058579 0.113129 0.183941 0.276964
2026-05-24 NaN 0.003412 0.022112 0.059546 0.116135 0.189868 0.286955
2026-05-31 NaN 0.003312 0.022509 0.061362 0.120335 0.197334 0.298851